Thanks Forbin. I've been lucky enough to be around youth hockey between playing and coaching for probably upwards of 90% of my life and have coached from Mites to Midgets. Most parents don't get the education that is needed for them to understand truely what the odds are of their player moving on to higher levels, or even what those levels look like from a skill level. Unfortunately, with experience we know that the jump from "B" to "A", "A" to "AA", "AA" to "AAA" all get exponentially harder as a player moves up the ladder. I will always go back to parent/player education as being the most overlooked aspect of youth hockey.
To steer the discussion back towards what we were originally talking about, there is some value in discussing and watching kids at 12U play. I've been lucky enough to watch kids that you can already see are going to be able to advance and thrive at 14U because they do play a borderline physical game at that age, while there's also the other end of the spectrum of the kids that shy away from contact at 12U and are going to struggle greatly and probably end up giving up the game, or not advancing to higher levels of play because of that. I do believe this is where the value of having major/minor at 12U and up would be valuable and also illustrates why teams might chose to go independent. I've always felt through the years that higher level of play will almost always = more physicality because the players have better control of their bodies because those players are better athletes in general. If you have a team that is going to physically dominate other teams in their "home" league, then there is value in going independent. Anything can happen during a game and a team can/will run into a hot goalie sometimes and lose a game that they dominated every other aspect of. Should that team have to dominate teams that they are going to beat 95% of the time or maybe play a schedule that ends up in a .500 or .600 record and the kids get challenged?